Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.028512 0.030721 0.033031 0.035630 0.038476 0.041502 0.044967
2025-01-26 0.025048 0.028207 0.031687 0.035821 0.040612 0.046011 0.052583
2025-02-02 0.022908 0.026668 0.030979 0.036316 0.042783 0.050415 0.060176
2025-02-09 0.020905 0.024979 0.029799 0.035967 0.043717 0.053216 0.065874
2025-02-16 0.019402 0.023701 0.028925 0.035803 0.044719 0.056017 0.071634
2025-02-23 0.018102 0.022540 0.028058 0.035508 0.045436 0.058397 0.076911
2025-03-02 0.017107 0.021672 0.027470 0.035479 0.046429 0.061124 0.082777
2025-03-09 0.016053 0.020648 0.026591 0.034970 0.046688 0.062811 0.087244
2025-03-16 0.015057 0.019630 0.025646 0.034285 0.046619 0.063980 0.090984
2025-03-23 0.014292 0.018876 0.025002 0.033956 0.046997 0.065767 0.095716
2025-03-30 0.013605 0.018186 0.024400 0.033633 0.047339 0.067486 0.100427
2025-04-06 0.012866 0.017384 0.023594 0.032960 0.047102 0.068292 0.103723
2025-04-13 0.012496 0.017088 0.023494 0.033319 0.048442 0.071603 0.111338
2025-04-20 0.012031 0.016632 0.023138 0.033271 0.049148 0.073960 0.117559
2025-04-27 0.011730 0.016397 0.023088 0.033674 0.050568 0.077528 0.126105
2025-05-04 0.011251 0.015875 0.022585 0.033344 0.050789 0.079138 0.131348
2025-05-11 0.010851 0.015455 0.022211 0.033191 0.051276 0.081203 0.137546
2025-05-18 0.010449 0.015012 0.021781 0.032921 0.051543 0.082897 0.143181
2025-05-25 0.010133 0.014686 0.021514 0.032895 0.052209 0.085306 0.150336
2025-06-01 0.009732 0.014212 0.020996 0.032430 0.052092 0.086317 0.154870
2025-06-08 0.009318 0.013701 0.020399 0.031803 0.051657 0.086717 0.158220
2025-06-15 0.009000 0.013331 0.020009 0.031502 0.051770 0.088114 0.163668
2025-06-22 0.008702 0.012980 0.019634 0.031207 0.051874 0.089491 0.169173